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Bay Harbor Islands Warnings, Watches and Advisories

NWS Active Alerts for FL - Map View

State: FL Total alerts: 96 Updated: Oct 10, 2026 1:26am EDT

Rip Current Statement

Area
Coastal Palm Beach County

Rip Current Statement issued October 10 at 12:53AM EDT until October 10 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Miami FL

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Statement, isolated minor coastal flooding. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Coastal Palm Beach County. * WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Statement, through Sunday morning. For the High Rip Current Risk, through this evening. * IMPACTS...Some water on low lying roads and property. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

Severity
Moderate

Certainty
Likely

Urgency
Expected

Published
October 10th, 2026 12:53:00 am EDT

Effective
October 10th, 2026 12:53:00 am EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 08:00:00 pm EDT

Rip Current Statement

Area
Coastal Collier County

Rip Current Statement issued October 10 at 12:53AM EDT until October 10 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Miami FL

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Statement, isolated minor coastal flooding. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Coastal Collier County. * WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Statement, through Sunday morning. For the High Rip Current Risk, through this evening. * IMPACTS...Some water on low lying roads and property. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

Severity
Extreme

Certainty
Likely

Urgency
Immediate

Published
October 9th, 2026 10:13:00 pm CDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 10:13:00 pm CDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 06:15:00 am CDT

Hurricane Warning

Area
Okaloosa Inland

Hurricane Warning issued October 9 at 10:13PM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Crestview - Laurel Hill * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Strong Tropical Storm force wind - Peak Wind Forecast: 45-60 mph with gusts to 90 mph - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: through the next few hours - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind greater than 110 mph - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane force or higher. - PREPARE: Last minute efforts should solely focus on protecting life. The area remains subject to catastrophic wind damage. - ACT: Now is the time to shelter from life-threatening wind. Be ready to move to the safest place inside your shelter if necessary. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding - Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding. * STORM SURGE - No storm surge inundation forecast - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm surge flooding - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding. Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip currents are possible. - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding are needed. - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor forecasts. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional around 1 inch - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major flooding rain - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are likely. - PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected - The tornado threat has decreased from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms with gusty winds may still occur. - PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest tornado situation. - ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None - Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - For evacuation and shelter information, please refer to: - Okaloosa County EMA: 850-651-7150 or myokaloosa.com/emergency-management - For storm surge threat graphics and other storm impacts: - NWS Mobile: www.weather.gov/mob

Severity
Minor

Certainty
Likely

Urgency
Expected

Published
October 9th, 2026 11:01:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 11:01:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 07:15:00 am EDT

Coastal Flood Advisory

Area
Coastal Citrus; Coastal Hernando; Coastal Pasco

Coastal Flood Advisory issued October 9 at 11:01PM EDT until October 10 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

* WHAT...Minor coastal flooding expected. * WHERE...Coastal Citrus, Coastal Hernando and Coastal Pasco Counties. * WHEN...through 8 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected.

Severity
Minor

Certainty
Likely

Urgency
Expected

Published
October 9th, 2026 11:01:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 11:01:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 07:15:00 am EDT

High Surf Advisory

Area
Pinellas; Coastal Hillsborough

High Surf Advisory issued October 9 at 11:01PM EDT until October 10 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

Severity
Minor

Certainty
Likely

Urgency
Expected

Published
October 9th, 2026 11:01:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 11:01:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 07:15:00 am EDT

High Surf Advisory

Area
Coastal Manatee; Coastal Sarasota; Coastal Charlotte; Coastal Lee

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Horseshoe Beach - Suwannee * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-15 mph with gusts to 30 mph - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Wind less than 39 mph - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: The sustained wind should remain less than tropical storm force. Conditions may still be gusty. - PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to guard against tropical winds at this time. - ACT: Ensure emergency readiness should the forecast change. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None - Little to no potential impacts from wind. * STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet above ground somewhere within surge prone areas - Window of concern: through Saturday morning - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of greater than 3 feet above ground. - PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from storm surge flooding. - ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture outside. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding - Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 2-4 inches, with locally higher amounts - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for extreme flooding rain - The flooding rain threat has increased from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for extreme flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are likely. - PREPARE: Urgently consider protective actions from extreme and widespread rainfall flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic - Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become raging rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Tornado Watch is in effect - Situation is favorable for tornadoes - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several tornadoes - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger damage paths. - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats should prepare to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather arrives. - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures. - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - Local Weather Conditions and Forecasts: NWS Tallahassee - https://www.weather.gov/tallahassee - Information from the Florida Division of Emergency Management - https://www.floridadisaster.org - Information from Dixie County Emergency Management - http://www.dixieemergency.com

Severity
Extreme

Certainty
Likely

Urgency
Immediate

Published
October 9th, 2026 10:57:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 10:57:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 07:00:00 am EDT

Hurricane Warning

Area
North Walton

Hurricane Warning issued October 9 at 10:57PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED - De Funiak Springs * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Cat 1 Hurricane force wind - Peak Wind Forecast: 65-85 mph with gusts to 105 mph - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: through the next few hours - Window for Hurricane force winds: through the next few hours - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind greater than 110 mph - The wind threat has increased from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane force or higher. - PREPARE: Last minute efforts should solely focus on protecting life. The area remains subject to catastrophic wind damage. - ACT: Now is the time to shelter from life-threatening wind. Be ready to move to the safest place inside your shelter if necessary. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding - Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional around 1 inch - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major flooding rain - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are likely. - PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few tornadoes - The tornado threat has decreased from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include possible tornadoes. - PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the latest tornado situation. - ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter if a tornado warning is issued. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - Local Weather Conditions and Forecasts: NWS Tallahassee - https://www.weather.gov/tallahassee - Information from the Florida Division of Emergency Management - https://www.floridadisaster.org - Information from Walton County Emergency Management - https://www.co.walton.fl.us/1063/Emergency-Management

Severity
Extreme

Certainty
Likely

Urgency
Immediate

Published
October 9th, 2026 10:57:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 10:57:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 07:00:00 am EDT

Coastal Flood Statement

Area
Monroe Upper Keys; Monroe Middle Keys; Monroe Lower Keys

Coastal Flood Statement issued October 9 at 10:23PM EDT until October 10 at 5:00AM EDT by NWS Key West FL

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding. * WHERE...Florida Keys. * WHEN...Through late tonight. * IMPACTS...Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets and lots is likely. Some storm drains will overflow, and some seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost certain to contain a mix of saltwater. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

Severity
Minor

Certainty
Likely

Urgency
Expected

Published
October 9th, 2026 10:23:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 10:23:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 05:00:00 am EDT

Flood Warning

Area
Covington, AL; Escambia, AL; Okaloosa, FL; Santa Rosa, FL

Flood Warning issued October 9 at 9:02PM CDT until October 12 at 6:33AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Florida... Alabama... Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa and Covington Counties. For the Blackwater River...including Baker, Upper Blackwater River... Moderate flooding is forecast. Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations. The next statement will be issued when updates occur. * WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Blackwater River near Baker. * WHEN...From late tonight to Monday morning. * IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, minor flooding of secondary roads and lowlands from the Highway 4 Bridge downstream. At 16.0 feet, some residential flooding occurs downstream from the Highway 4 bridge. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 8:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 1.8 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late tonight to a crest of 16.1 feet early Sunday morning. It will then fall below flood stage early Monday morning. - Flood stage is 11.0 feet. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Severity
Severe

Certainty
Observed

Urgency
Immediate

Published
October 9th, 2026 09:02:00 pm CDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 09:02:00 pm CDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 09:15:00 am CDT

Flood Warning

Area
Okaloosa, FL

Flood Warning issued October 9 at 9:00PM CDT until October 13 at 11:00AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in Florida... Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. For the Shoal River...including Crestview...Minor flooding is forecast. Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations. The next statement will be issued when updates occur. * WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Shoal River near Crestview. * WHEN...From Saturday morning to Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...At 10.0 feet, some flooding of trailers north of the Okaloosa Correctional Institute. Water surrounds home on Sowel Road. At 8.0 feet, minor flooding of low lying areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 8:15 PM CDT Friday the stage was 5.9 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late tomorrow morning to a crest of 10.5 feet Sunday evening. It will then fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning. - Flood stage is 8.0 feet. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Severity
Severe

Certainty
Observed

Urgency
Immediate

Published
October 9th, 2026 09:00:00 pm CDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 09:00:00 pm CDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 09:00:00 am CDT

Flood Warning

Area
Okaloosa, FL; Santa Rosa, FL

Flood Warning issued October 9 at 8:58PM CDT until October 13 at 2:20AM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in Florida... Big Coldwater Creek Near Milton affecting Okaloosa and Santa Rosa Counties. For the Big Coldwater Creek...including Milton, Harold...Minor flooding is forecast. Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/mob. Click on the Rivers and Lakes menu for forecasts and observations. The next statement will be issued when updates occur. * WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Big Coldwater Creek near Milton. * WHEN...From Saturday morning to late Monday night. * IMPACTS...At 10.0 feet, flooding of lowlands and some fish camps will occur. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 8:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 3.5 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage tomorrow morning to a crest of 14.1 feet Sunday morning. It will then fall below flood stage Monday evening. - Flood stage is 10.0 feet. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Severity
Severe

Certainty
Observed

Urgency
Immediate

Published
October 9th, 2026 08:58:00 pm CDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 08:58:00 pm CDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 09:00:00 am CDT

Flood Watch

Area
Wilcox; Monroe; Conecuh; Butler; Crenshaw; Escambia; Covington; Santa Rosa Inland; Santa Rosa Coastal; Okaloosa Inland; Okaloosa Coastal

Flood Watch issued October 9 at 8:52PM CDT until October 10 at 1:00PM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible. * WHERE...Portions of south central Alabama, including the following areas, Butler, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Monroe and Wilcox and northwest Florida, including the following areas, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal and Santa Rosa Inland. * WHEN...Through Saturday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Extensive street flooding and flooding of creeks and rivers are possible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Hurricane Isaias will continue to lift northward across the western Florida Panhandle into south central Alabama. Isaias is expected to produce additional storm total rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches in the watch area with localized higher amounts up 6 inches. River flooding is also expected, some of which could be significant. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Severity
Severe

Certainty
Possible

Urgency
Future

Published
October 9th, 2026 08:52:00 pm CDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 08:52:00 pm CDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 05:00:00 am CDT

Flood Warning

Area
Leon, FL; Liberty, FL; Wakulla, FL

Flood Warning issued October 9 at 9:07PM EDT until October 12 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

...The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has issued a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Florida... Ochlockonee River near Bloxham (SR 20) affecting Liberty, Wakulla and Leon Counties. * WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Ochlockonee River near Bloxham (SR 20). * WHEN...From Saturday afternoon to Monday evening. * IMPACTS...At 22.0 feet, Water begins to affect more homes along all of Crooked Road in Leon County. Further downstream in Wakulla County, most of Easy Street South is flooded. Water will encroach on residences at the end of the road. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 8:15 PM EDT Friday the stage was 14.9 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 21.9 feet Sunday morning. It will then fall below flood stage Monday morning. - Flood stage is 20.0 feet. - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.0 feet on 03/02/1994. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Severity
Severe

Certainty
Likely

Urgency
Expected

Published
October 9th, 2026 09:07:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 09:07:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 02:00:00 pm EDT

Flood Warning

Area
Leon, FL; Wakulla, FL

Flood Warning issued October 9 at 9:04PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Florida... St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd affecting Wakulla and Leon Counties. * WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...St. Marks River near Newport On Old Magnolia Rd. * WHEN...From Saturday afternoon until further notice. * IMPACTS...At 8.5 feet, Water approaches the steps to an elevated residence on Old Magnolia Road in Wakulla County. Other elevated structures begin to be surrounded by water. Portions of the Natural Bridge State Park near the river begin to flood in Leon County. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 8:00 PM EDT Friday the stage was 7.3 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early tomorrow afternoon and continue rising to a crest of 8.7 feet Sunday morning. - Flood stage is 8.0 feet. - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.6 feet on 04/01/1987. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Severity
Severe

Certainty
Observed

Urgency
Immediate

Published
October 9th, 2026 09:04:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 09:04:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 02:00:00 pm EDT

Flood Warning

Area
Baker, FL; Nassau, FL; Charlton, GA

Flood Warning issued October 9 at 8:58PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in southeast Georgia and northeast Florida... St Mary's River At Macclenny affecting Charlton, Baker and Nassau Counties. Additional information is available at https://water.weather.gov/wfo/JAX The next statement will be issued Saturday evening at 900 PM EDT. * WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...St Mary's River at Macclenny. * WHEN...Until further notice. * IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, Minor flooding of low lying areas and timber lands including some properties along St. Mary's River Bluff Road and the Cypress Landing Resort on the Georgia side. At 14.0 feet, Flooding of bottomlands along the river and some lower access roads including the lower half of St. Mary's River Bluff Road which cuts off 15 to 20 homes on the Georgia side. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 8:45 PM EDT Friday the stage was 12.4 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.7 feet tomorrow evening. - Flood stage is 12.0 feet. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Severity
Severe

Certainty
Observed

Urgency
Immediate

Published
October 9th, 2026 08:58:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 08:58:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 09:00:00 pm EDT

Tornado Watch

Area
Calhoun, FL; Dixie, FL; Franklin, FL; Gadsden, FL; Gulf, FL; Jackson, FL; Jefferson, FL; Lafayette, FL; Leon, FL; Liberty, FL; Madison, FL; Taylor, FL; Wakulla, FL; Brooks, GA; Decatur, GA; Grady, GA; Lowndes, GA; Seminole, GA; Thomas, GA

Tornado Watch issued October 9 at 8:54PM EDT until October 10 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 678 UNTIL 6 AM EDT /5 AM CDT/ SATURDAY WHICH REPLACES A PORTION OF TORNADO WATCH 677. THE NEW WATCH IS VALID FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN FLORIDA THE NEW WATCH INCLUDES 13 COUNTIES IN BIG BEND FLORIDA DIXIE FRANKLIN GADSDEN JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEON LIBERTY MADISON TAYLOR WAKULLA IN PANHANDLE FLORIDA CALHOUN GULF JACKSON IN GEORGIA THE NEW WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA BROOKS LOWNDES THOMAS IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA DECATUR GRADY SEMINOLE THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ABE SPRINGS, ADAMS BEACH, ALMA, APALACHICOLA, ATHENA, AUSMAC, BAINBRIDGE, BAY CITY, BEACHTON, BETHEL, BEVERLY, BLOUNTSTOWN, BLUE SPRINGS, BLUE SPRINGS, BOYD, BRADFORDVILLE, BROOKS CO A/P, BROWNTOWN, BUCELL JUNCTION, BUCK SIDING, BUCKVILLE, CABBAGE GROVE, CAIRO, CAPEL, CAPITOLA, CAPPS, CARBUR, CARRABELLE, CASA BLANCO, CHAIRES, CHAIRES CROSSROADS, CHATTAHOOCHEE, CHERRY LAKE, CLARKSVILLE, COOKS HAMMOCK, CROSS CITY, CROSS CITY AIRPORT, DALKEITH, DAVIS PARK, DAY, DECATUR CO A/P, DILLON, DILLS, DIXIE, DONALDSONVILLE A/P, DONALSONVILLE, DRIFTON, DURHAM, ELPINO, EMPRESS, FAIRCHILD, FESTUS, FORT GADSDEN, FRINK, GRACEVILLE, GRADY CO A/P, GROOVERVILLE, HANOVER, HANSON, HARDIN HEIGHTS, HILLIARDVILLE, HINES, HONEYVILLE, HOPEWELL, HOWARD CREEK, JARROTT, JONESBORO, KILLEARN ESTATES, KILLEARN LAKES, LITTLE HOPE, LITTMAN, LOVETT, LYNN, MACLAY STATE GARDENS, MADISON, MALONE, MARIANNA, MARYSVILLE, MAYO, METCALF, MIDWAY, MONCRIEF, MONTICELLO, NANKIN, OAK GROVE, ODENA, OLD TOWN, PASCO, PERRY, PINE PARK, PINETTA, PORT ST. JOE, QUINCY, QUINCY AIRPORT, QUITMAN, RICHTER CROSSROADS, RIVERTURN, SANTA CLARA, SCOTTS FERRY, SEMINOLE STATE PARK, SIMSVILLE, SNEADS, SOPCHOPPY, ST. MARKS, STEINHAM STORE, SWEETWATER, TALLAHASSEE, THOMASVILLE, TILTON, VALDOSTA, VALDOSTA REGIONAL AIRPORT, WAKULLA SPRINGS, WEST BAINBRIDGE, WETUMPKA, WEWAHITCHKA, WHITE CITY, AND YELLOW JACKET.

Severity
Extreme

Certainty
Possible

Urgency
Future

Published
October 9th, 2026 08:54:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 08:54:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 06:00:00 am EDT

Tornado Watch

Area
Hamilton, FL; Suwannee, FL; Echols, GA

Tornado Watch issued October 9 at 8:54PM EDT until October 10 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 678 UNTIL 6 AM EDT SATURDAY WHICH REPLACES A PORTION OF TORNADO WATCH 677. THE NEW WATCH IS VALID FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN FLORIDA THE NEW WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES IN NORTHERN FLORIDA HAMILTON SUWANNEE IN GEORGIA THE NEW WATCH INCLUDES 1 COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ECHOLS THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BELMONT, HOUSTON, JASPER, JENNINGS, LIVE OAK, MCALPIN, NEEDMORE, NEWBURN, STATENVILLE, SUWANNEE SPRINGS, WEST LAKE, AND WHITE SPRINGS.

Severity
Extreme

Certainty
Possible

Urgency
Future

Published
October 9th, 2026 08:54:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 08:54:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 06:00:00 am EDT

Flood Warning

Area
Citrus, FL; Levy, FL; Marion, FL

Flood Warning issued October 9 at 8:46PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Florida... Cypress Creek At SR 54 Worthington Gardens affecting Pasco County. Anclote River At Elfers at Little Road affecting Pasco County. ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Little Manatee River At Wimauma at US 301 affecting Hillsborough County. Manatee River Near Myakka Head at SR 64 affecting Manatee County. Withlacoochee At US 41 Dunnellon affecting Marion, Levy and Citrus Counties. .Due to recent heavy rainfall, water levels on Anclote River and Manatee River are forecast to remain at flood stage and begin to fall Saturday. Water levels on the Cypress Creek and Little Manatee River are expected to continue rising and reach Flood Stage during the weekend or early in the week. Elevated water levels continue on the Withlacoochee River at Dunnellon due to a combination of excessive hydrilla growth along a 4.5 mile stretch of river between U.S. 41 and Lake Rousseau, and recent heavy rainfall. Water levels are expected to hold steady before slowly decreasing over the next several days. However, the river is forecast to remain in flood stage. * WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue. * WHERE...Withlacoochee at US 41 Dunnellon. * WHEN...Until further notice. * IMPACTS...At 28.2 feet, Docks and boat ramps flood along the river in Citrus and Marion counties. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 7:45 PM EDT Friday the stage was 28.3 feet. - Bankfull stage is 28.2 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 7:45 PM EDT Friday was 28.5 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.3 feet just after midnight tonight. - Flood stage is 28.2 feet. - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 28.3 feet on 10/05/1965. - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Severity
Severe

Certainty
Observed

Urgency
Immediate

Published
October 9th, 2026 08:46:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 08:46:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 12:15:00 pm EDT

Flood Warning

Area
Pasco, FL

Flood Warning issued October 9 at 8:46PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Florida... Cypress Creek At SR 54 Worthington Gardens affecting Pasco County. Anclote River At Elfers at Little Road affecting Pasco County. ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Little Manatee River At Wimauma at US 301 affecting Hillsborough County. Manatee River Near Myakka Head at SR 64 affecting Manatee County. Withlacoochee At US 41 Dunnellon affecting Marion, Levy and Citrus Counties. .Due to recent heavy rainfall, water levels on Anclote River and Manatee River are forecast to remain at flood stage and begin to fall Saturday. Water levels on the Cypress Creek and Little Manatee River are expected to continue rising and reach Flood Stage during the weekend or early in the week. Elevated water levels continue on the Withlacoochee River at Dunnellon due to a combination of excessive hydrilla growth along a 4.5 mile stretch of river between U.S. 41 and Lake Rousseau, and recent heavy rainfall. Water levels are expected to hold steady before slowly decreasing over the next several days. However, the river is forecast to remain in flood stage. * WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Cypress Creek at SR 54 Worthington Gardens. * WHEN...From late Sunday night until further notice. * IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road 54. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 8:00 PM EDT Friday the stage was 6.4 feet. - Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early Monday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter. - Flood stage is 8.0 feet. - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.1 feet on 05/29/1976. - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Severity
Severe

Certainty
Observed

Urgency
Immediate

Published
October 9th, 2026 08:46:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 08:46:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 12:15:00 pm EDT

Flood Warning

Area
Manatee, FL

Flood Warning issued October 9 at 8:46PM EDT until October 10 at 11:25AM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Florida... Cypress Creek At SR 54 Worthington Gardens affecting Pasco County. Anclote River At Elfers at Little Road affecting Pasco County. ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Little Manatee River At Wimauma at US 301 affecting Hillsborough County. Manatee River Near Myakka Head at SR 64 affecting Manatee County. Withlacoochee At US 41 Dunnellon affecting Marion, Levy and Citrus Counties. .Due to recent heavy rainfall, water levels on Anclote River and Manatee River are forecast to remain at flood stage and begin to fall Saturday. Water levels on the Cypress Creek and Little Manatee River are expected to continue rising and reach Flood Stage during the weekend or early in the week. Elevated water levels continue on the Withlacoochee River at Dunnellon due to a combination of excessive hydrilla growth along a 4.5 mile stretch of river between U.S. 41 and Lake Rousseau, and recent heavy rainfall. Water levels are expected to hold steady before slowly decreasing over the next several days. However, the river is forecast to remain in flood stage. * WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring is forecast to continue. * WHERE...Manatee River near Myakka Head at SR 64. * WHEN...Until Saturday morning. * IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 8:15 PM EDT Friday the stage was 11.6 feet. - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 8:15 PM EDT Friday was 11.7 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late tonight and continue falling to 7.8 feet Monday evening. - Flood stage is 11.0 feet. - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.6 feet on 08/24/1985. - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Severity
Severe

Certainty
Observed

Urgency
Immediate

Published
October 9th, 2026 08:46:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 08:46:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 11:30:00 am EDT

Flood Warning

Area
Pasco, FL

Flood Warning issued October 9 at 8:46PM EDT until October 10 at 5:36PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Florida... Cypress Creek At SR 54 Worthington Gardens affecting Pasco County. Anclote River At Elfers at Little Road affecting Pasco County. ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Little Manatee River At Wimauma at US 301 affecting Hillsborough County. Manatee River Near Myakka Head at SR 64 affecting Manatee County. Withlacoochee At US 41 Dunnellon affecting Marion, Levy and Citrus Counties. .Due to recent heavy rainfall, water levels on Anclote River and Manatee River are forecast to remain at flood stage and begin to fall Saturday. Water levels on the Cypress Creek and Little Manatee River are expected to continue rising and reach Flood Stage during the weekend or early in the week. Elevated water levels continue on the Withlacoochee River at Dunnellon due to a combination of excessive hydrilla growth along a 4.5 mile stretch of river between U.S. 41 and Lake Rousseau, and recent heavy rainfall. Water levels are expected to hold steady before slowly decreasing over the next several days. However, the river is forecast to remain in flood stage. * WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring forecast to continue. * WHERE...Anclote River at Elfers at Little Road. * WHEN...Until Saturday afternoon. * IMPACTS...At 22.0 feet, There is water over the roadway along the Elfers Parkway. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 7:30 PM EDT Friday the stage was 20.4 feet. - Bankfull stage is 20.0 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 7:30 PM EDT Friday was 20.4 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.4 feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow morning. - Flood stage is 20.0 feet. - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.4 feet on 08/08/1957. - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Severity
Severe

Certainty
Observed

Urgency
Immediate

Published
October 9th, 2026 08:46:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 08:46:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 12:15:00 pm EDT

Flood Warning

Area
Hillsborough, FL

Flood Warning issued October 9 at 8:46PM EDT until October 10 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Florida... Cypress Creek At SR 54 Worthington Gardens affecting Pasco County. Anclote River At Elfers at Little Road affecting Pasco County. ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Little Manatee River At Wimauma at US 301 affecting Hillsborough County. Manatee River Near Myakka Head at SR 64 affecting Manatee County. Withlacoochee At US 41 Dunnellon affecting Marion, Levy and Citrus Counties. .Due to recent heavy rainfall, water levels on Anclote River and Manatee River are forecast to remain at flood stage and begin to fall Saturday. Water levels on the Cypress Creek and Little Manatee River are expected to continue rising and reach Flood Stage during the weekend or early in the week. Elevated water levels continue on the Withlacoochee River at Dunnellon due to a combination of excessive hydrilla growth along a 4.5 mile stretch of river between U.S. 41 and Lake Rousseau, and recent heavy rainfall. Water levels are expected to hold steady before slowly decreasing over the next several days. However, the river is forecast to remain in flood stage. * WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Little Manatee River at Wimauma at US 301. * WHEN...From Saturday morning to Saturday evening. * IMPACTS...At 11.6 feet, Water reaches the top of the bank. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 8:00 PM EDT Friday the stage was 10.6 feet. - Bankfull stage is 11.0 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 11.0 feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage early tomorrow afternoon. - Flood stage is 11.0 feet. - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.0 feet on 10/11/1971. - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Severity
Severe

Certainty
Observed

Urgency
Immediate

Published
October 9th, 2026 08:46:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 08:46:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 12:15:00 pm EDT

Flood Warning

Area
Lake, FL; Volusia, FL

Flood Warning issued October 9 at 8:39PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... St Johns River Near Astor affecting Lake and Volusia Counties. .The St Johns River at Astor has reached Moderate Flood Stage due to northeast winds and repeated rounds of heavy rainfall across the basin. River levels are then forecast to remain just above Moderate Flood Stage through this weekend and into early next week. For the St. Johns River...including Astor...Moderate flooding is forecast. * WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and is forecast. * WHERE...St Johns River near Astor. * WHEN...Until further notice. * IMPACTS...At 3.0 feet, Water approaches or may enter lowest homes on or near Wildhog Road and nearby canals. Flooding reaches the parking lot of the Juno Trail Apartments. Flooding on portions of Alligator Road and Holiday Road. Lowest lying yards along Blue Creek are flooded. Roads at Astor Landing Campground and Lake Dexter Boat Ramp begin to flood. Water enters lower homes closest to the river on McPherson Lane. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 7:30 PM EDT Friday the stage was 3.1 feet. - Bankfull stage is 2.0 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 7:30 PM EDT Friday was 3.1 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 3.2 feet tomorrow morning. - Flood stage is 2.3 feet. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Severity
Severe

Certainty
Observed

Urgency
Immediate

Published
October 9th, 2026 08:39:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 08:39:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 11:00:00 am EDT

Tropical Cyclone Local Statement

Tropical Cyclone Local Statement issued October 9 at 7:14PM CDT by NWS Mobile AL

HLSMOB This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi. **ISAIAS NEARING LANDFALL IN THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - The Tropical Storm Warning has been upgraded to a Hurricane Warning for Butler, Crenshaw, and Monroe * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Coastal - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Baldwin Inland, Butler, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Escambia Inland, Mobile Inland, Monroe, Okaloosa Inland, and Santa Rosa Inland - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Choctaw, Clarke, George, Greene, Perry, Stone, Washington, Wayne, and Wilcox * STORM INFORMATION: - About 100 miles east-southeast of Mobile AL or about 50 miles southeast of Pensacola FL - 30.1N 86.6W - Storm Intensity 110 mph - Movement North or 10 degrees at 18 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ Hurricane Isaias is now a Category 2 hurricane with winds of 110 mph. Isaias is located 22 miles south-southwest of Destin, Florida and is moving to the north near 18 mph. Isaias is expected to soon make landfall along the coast of the western Florida panhandle within the next hour or two as a damaging hurricane. Peak storm surge inundation of 6 to 9 feet above normally dry ground is possible along the coast of the western Florida panhandle, with the highest values most likely east of Navarre. Those in the hurricane warning need to prepare for damaging hurricane force winds of 74 to 110 mph, potentially stronger, especially across coastal Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle. The strongest winds will occur near and just to the east of the center. Potential impacts from these winds include numerous downed trees and power lines, significant power outages, and some roof damage. Tropical storm force winds will spread well inland with hurricane force gusts likely into south central Alabama as the center of Isaias quickly moves north. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are expected across southwest ALabama, south central Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle. Localized amounts of 10 to 12 inches are possible in bands across the Florida Panhandle and near the center track of the storm. Areas of flooding are likely if the higher amounts are realized, with considerable impacts possible. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * SURGE: Protect against life-threatening surge having possible extensive impacts across the coastal portions of the western Florida panhandle and Alabama. Potential impacts in this area include: - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings, with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period. - Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss. - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many small craft broken away from moorings, especially in unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded. Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi, little to no impact is anticipated. * WIND: Protect against life-threatening wind having possible devastating impacts across the western Florida Panhandle, portions of southwestern Alabama and portions of south central Alabama. Potential impacts in this area include: - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or months. - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and roadway signs blown over. - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. - Widespread power and communications outages. Also, protect against life-threatening wind having possible limited to extensive impacts across inland southeast Mississippi, far inland southwest Alabama, and inland south central Alabama. * FLOODING RAIN: Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible extensive impacts across all of southwest and south central Alabama and the western Florida panhandle. Potential impacts include: - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited to significant impacts across interior southeast Mississippi. * TORNADOES: Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant impacts across northwest Florida and south central Alabama. Potential impacts include: - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures. - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll. Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across southwest Alabama. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * EVACUATIONS: Follow the advice of local officials. * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery-powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy. During the peak of the storm be ready to move quickly. Keep your shoes on and rain gear handy. Boots and athletic shoes offer the best foot protection if you become unexpectedly exposed to the weather. If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic rise in water levels. If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number or website listed below. - Coastal Alabama: - Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA - Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or mobilecountyema.gov - Northwest Florida: - Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or myescambia.com/beready - Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency - Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or myokaloosa.com/emergency-management - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Mobile AL around 10 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

Severity
Moderate

Certainty
Likely

Urgency
Expected

Published
October 9th, 2026 07:14:00 pm CDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 07:14:00 pm CDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 03:15:00 am CDT

Tropical Cyclone Local Statement

Tropical Cyclone Local Statement issued October 9 at 5:32PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

HLSTAE This product covers eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia. **CONDITIONS DETERIORATING QUICKLY WITHIN THE STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WARNING AREAS** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for Coastal Bay and South Walton - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Central Walton, Coffee, Geneva, Holmes, Inland Bay, North Walton, and Washington - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect for Coastal Franklin, Coastal Gulf, Coastal Jefferson, and Coastal Wakulla - A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for Coastal Dixie and Coastal Taylor - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baker, Calhoun, Calhoun, Clay, Colquitt, Dale, Decatur, Dougherty, Early, Gadsden, Grady, Henry, Houston, Inland Franklin, Inland Gulf, Inland Jefferson, Inland Wakulla, Jackson, Lee, Leon, Miller, Mitchell, Northern Liberty, Quitman, Randolph, Seminole, Southern Liberty, Terrell, Thomas, and Worth * STORM INFORMATION: - About 100 miles southwest of Walton Bay county line or about 180 miles west-southwest of Tallahassee - 29.2N 87.0W - Storm Intensity 115 mph - Movement North or 10 degrees at 17 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ ...EXPECTED AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT... ... PREPARATIONS SHOULD NOW BE COMPLETED... At 5 PM ET, Hurricane Isaias was located over the Northern Gulf with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph and moving North at 17 mph. Isaias is forecast to continue on a northward track this evening towards the Florida/Alabama coastline. Hurricane Isaias is expected to maintain major hurricane status over the next few hours, with weakening expected to begin later tonight after Isaias makes landfall. Landfall is anticipated somewhere along the Western Florida Panhandle later this evening as a dangerous hurricane, nonetheless. A considerably large wind field combined with displaced convection east of the track fosters impacts are well beyond the forecast cone, particularly east of the hurricane's center. Conditions have begun to deteriorate across the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend today and will spread further inland later this evening and tonight. Residents should have finalized their preparations. The hurricane's fast forward speed following landfall will also lead to the wind threat extending farther inland, especially near the core of the storm. A Storm Surge Warning remains in effect for the all of our Panhandle and Big Bend coast. Life-threatening inundation values of 6 to 9 feet above normally dry ground are forecast across the coastal Panhandle to Grayton Beach. From Grayton Beach to Indian Pass, 4 to 7 feet, 4 to 6 feet from Indian Pass to the Steinhatchee River, and 3 to 5 feet from the Steinhatchee River to Suwannee River, coincident with the high tide. The greatest surge risk will be today into Saturday. Coastal saltwater flooding may linger through Saturday from persistent onshore flow. Soggy conditions across the region from recent rainfall will make much of the Tri-state area more sensitive to flooding from additional heavy rainfall from Isaias. Forecast rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are expected across much of the area from the storm. Localized totals up to 15 inches are possible, especially within banding across the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend. Such values would be capable of producing isolated to scattered flash flooding. Localized considerable flash flooding is also possible where bands of heavy rain move repeatedly over the same area. Given these factors, a Flood Watch is in effect for the Tri-State area through Saturday evening. Minor to isolated moderate river flooding appears likely from the anticipated rain. Isaias will also bring a heightened tornado risk across the Florida Panhandle and FL Big Bend this evening into Saturday and Southeast AL & Southwest GA late tonight into Saturday. Several tornadoes, a few may be strong, are possible from outer and trailing rain bands. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * FLOODING RAIN: Potential impacts from the flooding rain are unfolding across the eastern Florida Panhandle and the FL Big Bend. If realized, these impacts include: - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. Potential impacts from the flooding rain are will spread inland across the Florida Big Bend and FL Panhandle moving into SE Alabama and portions of SW Georgia. * TORNADOES: Potential impacts from tornadoes are unfolding across the Florida Big Bend coastline. If realized, these impacts include: - The occurrence of numerous tornadoes can greatly hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - Many places may experience tornado damage with a few spots of immense destruction, power loss, and communications failures. - Locations could realize roof and wall failures of sturdy buildings with some being leveled, structures upon weak foundations blown away, mobile homes obliterated, large trees twisted and snapped with forested trees uprooted, vehicles lifted off the ground and thrown, and small boats destroyed. Large and deadly projectiles can add to the toll. Potential impacts from tornadoes are expected to move further inland across the Florida Big Bend and SW Georgia. Remain well braced against a dangerous tornado event having significant impacts. * SURGE: Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across the Florida Panhandle coast. Remain well away from life-threatening surge having extensive impacts. If realized, these impacts include: - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings, with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period. - Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss. - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many small craft broken away from moorings, especially in unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded. Elsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is anticipated. * WIND: Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across the Tri-State area. Remain well sheltered from life-threatening wind having devastating impacts. If realized, these impacts include: - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or months. - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and roadway signs blown over. - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways, and access routes impassable. - Widespread power and communications outages. Potential impacts from the main wind event are expected to continue across the Tri-State area. Remain well sheltered from life- threatening wind having limited to extensive impacts. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * EVACUATIONS: Follow the advice of local officials. * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery- powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy. During the peak of the storm be ready to move quickly. Keep your shoes on and rain gear handy. Boots and athletic shoes offer the best foot protection if you become unexpectedly exposed to the weather. Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and check-ins. Do not venture outside while in the eye of a hurricane as any improvement in weather will only be temporary. Once the eye passes, conditions will become life threatening as winds immediately return to dangerous speeds, so remain safely sheltered from the storm. Do not be a thrill seeker or risk your life for senseless photos or videos. Quickly move to the safest place within your shelter if it begins to fail, preferably an interior room on the lowest floor as long as flooding is not a concern. If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic rise in water levels. If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Tallahassee FL around 12 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

Severity
Moderate

Certainty
Likely

Urgency
Expected

Published
October 9th, 2026 05:32:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 05:32:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 01:45:00 am EDT

Flood Watch

Area
Coffee; Dale; Henry; Geneva; Houston; North Walton; Central Walton; Holmes; Washington; Jackson; Inland Bay; Calhoun; Inland Gulf; Inland Franklin; Gadsden; Leon; Inland Jefferson; Madison; Inland Wakulla; Inland Taylor; Lafayette; Inland Dixie; South Walton; Coastal Jefferson; Coastal Taylor; Coastal Dixie; Northern Liberty; Southern Liberty; Quitman; Clay; Randolph; Calhoun; Terrell; Dougherty; Lee; Worth; Turner; Tift; Ben Hill; Irwin; Early; Miller; Baker; Mitchell; Colquitt; Cook; Berrien; Seminole; Decatur; Grady; Thomas; Brooks; Lowndes; Lanier

Flood Watch issued October 9 at 5:17PM EDT until October 10 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Alabama, including the following areas, Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry and Houston, Florida, including the following areas, Calhoun, Central Walton, Coastal Dixie, Coastal Jefferson, Coastal Taylor, Gadsden, Holmes, Inland Bay, Inland Dixie, Inland Franklin, Inland Gulf, Inland Jefferson, Inland Taylor, Inland Wakulla, Jackson, Lafayette, Leon, Madison, North Walton, Northern Liberty, South Walton, Southern Liberty and Washington, and Georgia, including the following areas, Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brooks, Calhoun, Clay, Colquitt, Cook, Decatur, Dougherty, Early, Grady, Irwin, Lanier, Lee, Lowndes, Miller, Mitchell, Quitman, Randolph, Seminole, Terrell, Thomas, Tift, Turner and Worth. * WHEN...Through Saturday evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Hurricane Isaias is expected to bring bands of heavy rainfall to the area. Widespread totals of 4 to 8 inches are expected with localized amounts of 10 to 15 inches. Given saturated soils from recent heavy rainfall, flash flooding is expected. Considerable flash flooding is possible where bands of heavy rain move repeatedly over the same area. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Severity
Severe

Certainty
Possible

Urgency
Future

Published
October 9th, 2026 05:17:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 05:17:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 02:00:00 pm EDT

Flood Watch

Area
Suwannee; Baker; Inland Nassau; Union; Bradford; Gilchrist; Inland Flagler; Eastern Hamilton; Coastal Nassau; Coastal Duval; Eastern Clay; Eastern Alachua; Eastern Putnam; Coastal Flagler; Eastern Marion; Western Hamilton; Trout River; Western Clay; Northeast Coastal St. Johns; Western Alachua; Western Putnam; Central Marion; Northern Columbia; South Central Duval; Southeast Coastal St. Johns; Western Marion; Southeastern Columbia; Western Duval; Northern Inland St. Johns; Southwestern Columbia; Southern Inland St. Johns; Western St. Johns

Flood Watch issued October 9 at 2:47PM EDT until October 10 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible. * WHERE...Portions of northeast and northern Florida, including the following areas, in northeast Florida, Baker, Coastal Duval, Coastal Flagler, Coastal Nassau, Eastern Clay, Eastern Putnam, Inland Flagler, Inland Nassau, Northeast Coastal St. Johns, Northern Inland St. Johns, South Central Duval, Southeast Coastal St. Johns, Southern Inland St. Johns, Trout River, Western Clay, Western Duval, Western Putnam and Western St. Johns. In northern Florida, Bradford, Central Marion, Eastern Alachua, Eastern Hamilton, Eastern Marion, Gilchrist, Northern Columbia, Southeastern Columbia, Southwestern Columbia, Suwannee, Union, Western Alachua, Western Hamilton and Western Marion. * WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - A lifting warm front and moisture due to Hurricane Isaias passing west of the area will bring waves of moderate to heavy rainfall across areas of Northeast Florida into this evening. Several inches of rain from the last several days will make for saturated soils and additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts may lead to flash flooding. The heavy rainfall may combine with higher than normal tidal levels and may worsen flood problems in some St. Johns River locations. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Severity
Severe

Certainty
Possible

Urgency
Future

Published
October 9th, 2026 02:47:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 02:47:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 02:00:00 am EDT

Wind Advisory

Area
Madison; Inland Taylor; Lafayette; Inland Dixie; Coastal Taylor; Coastal Dixie; Turner; Tift; Ben Hill; Irwin; Cook; Berrien; Brooks; Lowndes; Lanier

Wind Advisory issued October 9 at 2:42PM EDT until October 10 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

* WHAT...Southeast winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of Big Bend Florida and south central Georgia. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

Severity
Moderate

Certainty
Likely

Urgency
Expected

Published
October 9th, 2026 02:42:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 02:42:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 08:00:00 pm EDT

Rip Current Statement

Area
Coastal Duval

Rip Current Statement issued October 9 at 2:42PM EDT until October 11 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, minor coastal flooding. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents and rough surf. * WHERE...Coastal Duval County. * WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 4 PM EDT Sunday. For the High Rip Current Risk, through late Saturday night. * IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

Severity
Moderate

Certainty
Likely

Urgency
Expected

Published
October 9th, 2026 02:42:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 02:42:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 05:30:00 am EDT

Rip Current Statement

Area
Coastal Nassau; Coastal Flagler; Northeast Coastal St. Johns; Southeast Coastal St. Johns; Coastal Glynn; Coastal Camden

Rip Current Statement issued October 9 at 2:42PM EDT until October 11 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents and rough surf. * WHERE...Southeast Georgia Beaches. * WHEN...Through late Saturday night. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

Severity
Moderate

Certainty
Likely

Urgency
Expected

Published
October 9th, 2026 02:42:00 pm EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 02:42:00 pm EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 05:30:00 am EDT

Coastal Flood Advisory

Area
Coastal Duval

Severity
Moderate

Certainty
Likely

Urgency
Expected

Published
October 9th, 2026 01:18:00 pm CDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 01:18:00 pm CDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 07:00:00 am CDT

High Surf Warning

Area
South Walton; Coastal Bay

High Surf Warning issued October 9 at 11:37AM EDT until October 11 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

* WHAT...For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. For the High Surf Warning, dangerously large breaking waves of 8 to 12 feet expected in the surf zone. * WHERE...Walton and Bay County Beaches. * WHEN...For the High Rip Current Risk, through late Sunday night. For the High Surf Warning, from 10 AM Friday to 10 AM CDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Breaking waves can sweep people off jetties and docks, and into dangerous seas. Life-threatening swimming conditions and significant beach erosion can be expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

Severity
Moderate

Certainty
Likely

Urgency
Expected

Published
October 9th, 2026 11:37:00 am EDT

Effective
October 9th, 2026 11:37:00 am EDT

Expires
October 10th, 2026 06:00:00 am EDT

High Surf Advisory

Area
Coastal Gulf; Coastal Franklin

High Surf Advisory issued October 9 at 11:37AM EDT until October 11 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

* WHAT...For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 5 to 8 feet expected in the surf zone. * WHERE...Gulf and Franklin County Beaches. * WHEN...For the High Rip Current Risk, through late Sunday night. For the High Surf Advisory, from 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ Friday to 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ Sunday. * IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

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For more official information about severe storms and how to stay safe, visit the National Weather Service's Severe Thunderstorm Safety page. We encourage you to also monitor Excessive Rainfall Forecasts on their Weather Prediction Center website.

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