Lake Lucerne Warnings, Watches and Advisories

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SAFETY and DATA MESSAGE

Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. The water depth or fast flowing water/mud/debris from a flash flood will make road conditions unsafe. Do not rely soley on data presented here or other third-party websites - always check your official national and local weather service agency website, socials, radio and/or TV stations for making critical decisions related to weather events.

Please carefully read each posted Warning and Alert as it relates to the area(s) being affected. We may provide a wider range of issued severe weather warnings for surrounding cities and counties, so some alerts may not directly impact this location. This is done to help with preparing for severe weather that may overlap or be heading towards Lake Lucerne.

Use the Radar Maps link provided to understand the trajectory of a storm.

Flood Advisory

Flood Advisory issued October 4 at 8:46AM EDT until October 4 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Miami FL

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues. * WHERE...A portion of southeast Florida, including the following counties, Broward and Palm Beach. * WHEN...Until 1000 AM EDT. * IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas. Ponding of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 846 AM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated heavy rain due to thunderstorms. Minor flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly in the advisory area. Between 1.5 and 2.5 inches of rain have fallen. - Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are expected over the area. This additional rain will result in minor flooding. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... Pompano Beach, Boca Raton, Deerfield Beach, Lighthouse Point, Highland Beach, Coconut Creek, Hillsboro Beach, Boca Del Mar, Boca Pointe, Fau South Campus, Boca West, North Pompano Beach and Pompano Beach Airport. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Area
Broward, FL; Palm Beach, FL

Coastal Flood Statement

Coastal Flood Statement issued October 4 at 4:37AM EDT until October 4 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Key West FL

* WHAT...Minor saltwater flooding. * WHERE...Florida Keys. * WHEN...Through Friday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Minor saltwater flooding of low elevation streets and lots is likely. Some storm drains will overflow, and some seawalls and docks will be overtopped. Boaters can expect less clearance under fixed bridges. Motorists should remember that persistent puddles around the times of high tide are almost certain to contain a mix of saltwater.

Area
Monroe Upper Keys; Monroe Middle Keys; Monroe Lower Keys

Rip Current Statement

Rip Current Statement issued October 4 at 2:35AM EDT until October 5 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Miami FL

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents expected. * WHERE...Coastal Palm Beach County. * WHEN...From 11 AM EDT this morning through Saturday morning. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

Area
Coastal Palm Beach County

Rip Current Statement

Rip Current Statement issued October 4 at 2:35AM EDT until October 6 at 4:00AM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents expected. * WHERE...Franklin County Beaches. * WHEN...Through late Saturday night. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

Area
Coastal Franklin

Rip Current Statement

Rip Current Statement issued October 4 at 2:22AM EDT until October 5 at 5:00AM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Coastal Volusia, Brevard, Indian River, Saint Lucie and Martin Counties. * WHEN...Through late tonight. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

Area
Coastal Volusia; Coastal Indian River; Coastal St. Lucie; Coastal Martin; Mainland Northern Brevard; Northern Brevard Barrier Islands; Mainland Southern Brevard; Southern Brevard Barrier Islands

Rip Current Statement

Rip Current Statement issued October 4 at 2:03AM EDT until October 5 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents expected. * WHERE...Southeast Georgia and Northeast Florida Beaches. * WHEN...Through late tonight. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

Area
Coastal Nassau; Coastal Duval; Coastal St. Johns; Coastal Flagler; Coastal Glynn; Coastal Camden

Flood Warning

Flood Warning issued October 3 at 9:46PM EDT until October 5 at 3:42AM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Florida... Little Manatee River At Wimauma at US 301 affecting Hillsborough County. ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Cypress Creek At SR 54 Worthington Gardens affecting Pasco County. For the Cypress Creek...including SR 54 Worthington Gardens...Minor flooding is forecast. For the Little Manatee...including Wimauma at US 301...Minor flooding is forecast. * WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Little Manatee River at Wimauma at US 301. * WHEN...From late tonight to early Saturday morning. * IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, The river overflows its banks. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 9:00 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 10.2 feet. - Bankfull stage is 11.0 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage just after midnight tonight to a crest of 11.6 feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow evening. - Flood stage is 11.0 feet. - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.6 feet on 09/02/1959. - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Area
Hillsborough, FL

Flood Warning

Flood Warning issued October 3 at 9:46PM EDT until October 5 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

...The National Weather Service in Tampa Bay Ruskin FL has issued a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Florida... Manatee River Near Myakka Head at SR 64 affecting Manatee County. For the Manatee...including Myakka Head at SR 64, Rye Bridge...Minor flooding is forecast. * WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Manatee River near Myakka Head at SR 64. * WHEN...From Friday morning to Saturday morning. * IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 9:15 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 9.7 feet. - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late tomorrow morning to a crest of 11.2 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Saturday morning. - Flood stage is 11.0 feet. - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.2 feet on 09/18/2022. - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Area
Manatee, FL

Flood Warning

Flood Warning issued October 3 at 9:46PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Florida... Little Manatee River At Wimauma at US 301 affecting Hillsborough County. ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Cypress Creek At SR 54 Worthington Gardens affecting Pasco County. For the Cypress Creek...including SR 54 Worthington Gardens...Minor flooding is forecast. For the Little Manatee...including Wimauma at US 301...Minor flooding is forecast. * WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Cypress Creek at SR 54 Worthington Gardens. * WHEN...Until further notice. * IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road 54. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 9:00 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 8.1 feet. - Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 9:00 PM EDT Thursday was 8.1 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood stage at 8.1 feet. - Flood stage is 8.0 feet. - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.1 feet on 05/29/1976. - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Area
Pasco, FL

Flood Warning

Flood Warning issued October 3 at 9:42PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... St Johns River Near Astor affecting Volusia and Lake Counties. .River levels at Astor are forecast to very slowly decline this week, possibly dropping out of flood stage this weekend. However, additional heavy rain upstream could slow the river's decline into next week. For the St. Johns River...including Astor...Minor flooding is forecast. Additional information is available at www.weather.gov. The next statement will be issued Friday morning at 945 AM EDT. * WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...St Johns River near Astor. * WHEN...Until further notice. * IMPACTS...At 2.3 feet, Many docks become submerged along the river and in canals in the Astor community. Water enters yards of properties on Bartram Road, Holiday Circle and along Wild Hog Road on the Lake County side. In Volusia County, water encroaches yards of homes on the river side of Alice Drive. No wake zones are in effect from near the South Moon Canal to approximately 800 feet south of the Riverview lodge. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 8:30 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 2.5 feet. - Bankfull stage is 2.0 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 8:30 PM EDT Thursday was 2.5 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 2.5 feet just after midnight tonight. - Flood stage is 2.3 feet. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Area
Lake, FL; Volusia, FL

Flood Warning

Flood Warning issued October 3 at 9:36PM EDT until October 5 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Florida... Apalachicola River near Blountstown affecting Franklin, Liberty, Gulf and Calhoun Counties. * WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Apalachicola River near Blountstown. * WHEN...Until Saturday morning. * IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Forest Road 115 in Liberty County at River Styx Campground will flood, isolating access to the site. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 9:15 PM EDT Thursday /8:15 PM CDT Thursday/ the stage was 18.4 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 9:15 PM EDT Thursday /8:15 PM CDT Thursday/ was 19.5 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.4 feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow evening. - Flood stage is 17.0 feet. - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.2 feet on 07/28/2013. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Area
Calhoun, FL; Franklin, FL; Gulf, FL; Liberty, FL

Flood Warning

Flood Warning issued October 3 at 9:35PM EDT until October 8 at 4:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida... Georgia... Withlacoochee River near Pinetta (CR 150) affecting Hamilton and Madison Counties. Withlacoochee River near Quitman (US 84) affecting Brooks and Lowndes Counties. Withlacoochee River above Valdosta (Skipper Bridge Rd) affecting Brooks and Lowndes Counties. * WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Withlacoochee River near Pinetta (CR 150). * WHEN...Until Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...At 78.0 feet, In Hamilton County, portions of NW 36th Terrace begin to flood south of NW 36th Way. Flooding begins to surround more homes at the end of NW 36th Terrace. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 8:30 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 73.2 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 8:30 PM EDT Thursday was 73.2 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 78.4 feet Saturday morning. It will then fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning. - Flood stage is 73.0 feet. - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 78.1 feet on 02/19/1995. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Area
Hamilton, FL; Madison, FL

Flood Warning

Flood Warning issued October 3 at 9:28PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FL

...The National Weather Service in Jacksonville FL has issued a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Florida... Santa Fe River At Three Rivers Estates affecting Columbia, Gilchrist and Suwannee Counties. Additional information is available at https://water.weather.gov/wfo/JAX * WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast. * WHERE...Santa Fe River at Three Rivers Estates. * WHEN...From late Saturday night until further notice. * IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins on SW Santa Fe Drive south of Santa Fe Road in Columbia County. At 16.3 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission begins enforcement of a no wake zone on the Santa Fe River from the unnamed island 1.5 miles downstream of the Wilson's Spring Boat Ramp to the confluence with the Suwannee River and on the Ichetucknee River upstream to the US 27 bridge. At 17.0 feet, Water begins to enter backyards of residences on Santa Fe Road in Columbia County and on River Run Road in Suwannee County. At 18.0 feet, Water begins to flood River Run Road in Suwannee County. At 18.8 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission expands the no wake zone restriction further upstream on the Santa Fe River from the unnamed island 1.5 miles downstream on the Wilson's Spring Boat Ramp to one-half mile upstream of the State Road 47 bridge. At 19.0 feet, Water begins to enter backyards of residences along the Ichetucknee River. At 19.8 feet, Waters begins to affect homes in the Hollingsworth Bluff area at State Route 47. At 20.0 feet, Access to homes on Santa Fe Road below SW Riverside Avenue becomes restricted in Columbia. Flooding begins on Santa Fe and Wilson Springs Road. At 21.0 feet, Homes are surrounded on River Run Road in Suwannee County. Structures flood along Santa Fe Road west of Idaho Parkway in Columbia County. At 22.0 feet, River Run Road at 29th loop floods in Suwannee County. Santa Fe Road in Columbia County is inaccessible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 8:00 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 15.5 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early Sunday morning and continue rising to 20.8 feet Thursday, October 10. Additional rises are possible thereafter. - Flood stage is 17.0 feet. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Area
Columbia, FL; Gilchrist, FL; Suwannee, FL

Hydrologic Outlook

Hydrologic Outlook issued October 3 at 12:33PM EDT by NWS Miami FL

ESFMFL The long range models are showing a disturbance over the Northwest Carribean Sea to move northwest into the Gulf of Mexico through middle of next week. The National Hurricane Center is giving this disturbance a 30 percent chance of development through middle of next week. There is also a low level trough that will remain over Central Florida this weekend into early next week. This weather pattern will allow for deep tropical moisture to work into South Florida late this weekend and remain over South Florida through most of next week. The PWAT values are forecast to be in the 2.2 to 2.6 range over South Florida during this time frame which is near the maximum value for this time of year. This can lead to heavy rainfall across South Florida late this weekend into next week with any showers or thunderstorms that do develop. Given the uncertainty with the development of the tropical disturbance currently monitored by the National Hurricane Center, there is still the potential for significant forecast changes regarding potential rainfall totals, time-frame of greatest impacts as far as rainfall, and the locations that could see the highest amounts. Users are reminded to follow reliable sources such as the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center over the weekend into next week.

Area
Broward, FL; Collier, FL; Glades, FL; Hendry, FL; Miami-Dade, FL; Monroe, FL; Palm Beach, FL
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