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Atlantic Hurricane Tracking 2019

Outlook


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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico continue to
show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical or
subtropical storm is likely to form later today or tonight while the
system moves generally northeastward over the western Gulf of
Mexico. The low is forecast to approach the northern or
northeastern Gulf Coast on Friday or Saturday and regardless of
development, the system is likely to produce gusty winds and rough
surf over those areas. Locally heavy rainfall is also possible
across portions of the southeast U.S. late this week and this
weekend. Interests along the northern and northeastern Gulf coast
should monitor the progress of this system. For more information
about marine hazards while the low moves across the Gulf of Mexico,
see products issued by the Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch of
the National Hurricane Center. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon, if
necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Offshore Waters Forecasts for the Gulf of Mexico issued by the
National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header MIAOFFNT4,
WMO header FZNT24 KNHC, and online at
www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIAOFFNT4.shtml

Forecaster Beven


Updated: Thu, 17 Oct 2019 11:40:45 GMT
1

NOAA Communications on Twitter

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RT @NOAA: SEE: Map of #September 2019 Global Significant #Climate Events from @NOAANCEIclimate https://t.co/2U89QZjb3M #StateOfClimate htt…

Oct 16, 2019 replyretweetfavorite
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RT @NOAA: The period from January through September 2019 (YTD) was the 2nd warmest such period for the globe, w/ a temp increase of 1.69°F…

Oct 16, 2019 replyretweetfavorite
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RT @NOAA: #Antarctic sea ice coverage for September 2019 was 13th-smallest on record at 100,000 square miles below avg: @NOAANCEIclimate ht…

Oct 16, 2019 replyretweetfavorite
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RT @NOAA: #Arctic sea ice coverage for September 2019 was 3rd-lowest on record at 32.6% below avg: @NOAANCEIclimate https://t.co/2U89QZjb3

Oct 16, 2019 replyretweetfavorite
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RT @NOAA: JUST IN: #September 2019 ties with 2015 as warmest September on record for the planet, with average global temperature at 1.71°F…

Oct 16, 2019 replyretweetfavorite
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.@NOAA @NWS storm surge scientist awarded Service to America medal: https://t.co/f1nWv9PJn5 #SAMMIES2019 https://t.co/jAtLX6uYW0

Oct 16, 2019 replyretweetfavorite

National Hurricane Center on Twitter

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Regardless of tropical or subtropical development, gusty winds and rough surf are possible across the northern Gulf… https://t.co/ARqMbA6ufB

Oct 16, 2019 replyretweetfavorite
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A disturbance over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico could become a tropical or subtropical cyclone during the next c… https://t.co/iPbXONsGQ3

Oct 16, 2019 replyretweetfavorite
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Regardless of development, this system could produce gusty winds, rainfall, and rough surf along portions of the no… https://t.co/BJuwQy82Dz

Oct 16, 2019 replyretweetfavorite
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A broad area of low pressure located in the Bay of Campeche has a medium chance of becoming a tropical or subtropic… https://t.co/PRTXQkXLq0

Oct 16, 2019 replyretweetfavorite

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