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Atlantic Hurricane Tracking 2026

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Overview

Updated Oct 21, 2026 12:00 PM

Atlantic Tropical Weather Overview

In the eastern tropical Atlantic near the west coast of Africa, there are scattered showers that could bring occasional rain. In the Gulf of Mexico, especially the southwestern part near Mexico's Bay of Campeche, there are scattered showers with gusty northwest winds creating rough waters, while the rest of the Gulf experiences milder wind and sea conditions. Boaters and beachgoers should be cautious in the southwestern Gulf due to stronger winds and rough seas expected to continue through the week, and rough conditions will spread across much of the Gulf later this weekend with seas potentially reaching 12 feet. Across the Caribbean, especially near Colombia, scattered rain showers and thunderstorms are occurring, but conditions elsewhere vary with generally moderate winds and calm to slightly choppy seas, making it fairly typical for most parts of the Caribbean.

Outlook

000
ABNT20 KNHC 211142
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 21 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Offshore of the East Coast of the United States (AL93):
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred
miles off the mid-Atlantic United States coast is producing some
shower and thunderstorm activity primarily west and northwest of its
center. Over the next day or two, the low could gradually lose its
frontal features while it moves slowly north-northeastward over the
Gulf Stream, allowing the system to possibly develop subtropical
characteristics. By Friday, the system is expected to accelerate
northeastward away from the the eastern United States, and
environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for
additional subtropical or tropical development.

Regardless of the status of the system, high winds, coastal
flooding, and dangerous surf are expected along portions of the U.S.
East Coast during the next few days. For more information, please
consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service
offices and the Weather Prediction Center, along with the High Seas
Forecasts and the Storm Warnings issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Blake

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