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Atlantic Hurricane Tracking 2023

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Outlook


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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Sep 21 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Nigel, located over the north-central Atlantic.

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Sixteen, located over the southwestern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure a couple hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
are beginning to show signs of organization. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form this
weekend or early next week while the system moves generally westward
at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen are issued
under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen are issued
under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

Forecaster R. Zelinsky/Reinhart


Updated: Thu, 21 Sep 2023 21:09:58 GMT
1

Hurricane Nigel Graphics

Hurricane Nigel 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 21 Sep 2023 20:45:53 GMT

Hurricane Nigel 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 21 Sep 2023 21:22:53 GMT


NOAA Communications on Twitter

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National Hurricane Center on Twitter

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8 am EDT Jul 12: Conditions are marginally conducive for a subtropical or tropical depression or storm to form late… https://t.co/oaPPOVQxwg

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NWS Local Statements

No NHC active statments at this time

NWS Public Advisories

Hurricane Nigel Public Advisory Number 26
...NIGEL GROWING IN SIZE AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE NORTH ATLANTIC ... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A STRONG POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TONIGHT...
Location: 43.7°N 40.8°W
Max sustained: 80 mph
Moving: ENE at 37 mph
Min pressure: 977 mb

Issued at 900 PM GMT Thu Sep 21 2023


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