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Atlantic Hurricane Tracking 2021

Outlook


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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Peter, located a few hundred miles east of the northernmost
Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Rose, located several hundred
miles west of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands.

1. A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic
several hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is
producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development
over the next several days, and a tropical depression could form
later this week while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. A storm-force, non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants
of Odette, is located a couple of hundred miles southeast of
Newfoundland. This low could acquire some subtropical
characteristics by the middle of this week as it moves slowly
eastward and then southeastward over warmer waters across the
north-central Atlantic Ocean. Additional information on this
system, including storm warnings, can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Rose are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Rose are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Stewart


Updated: Mon, 20 Sep 2021 05:32:09 GMT
1

Tropical Storm Rose Graphics

Tropical Storm Rose 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 20 Sep 2021 02:51:14 GMT

Tropical Storm Rose 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 20 Sep 2021 03:28:39 GMT


 

National Hurricane Center on Twitter

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Here are the 11 PM AST Sunday Key Messages for Tropical Storm #Peter. Visit https://t.co/tW4KeGdBFb for the latest… https://t.co/0oh0TcccB9

Sep 20, 2021 replyretweetfavorite
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Tropical Storm #Rose Advisory 4: Rose Moving Northwestward With No Change in Strength. https://t.co/VqHn0u1vgc

Sep 20, 2021 replyretweetfavorite
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Tropical Storm #Peter Advisory 6: Air Force Hurricane Hunters Find Peter a Little Stronger. Peter Expected to Pass… https://t.co/W662sTxmiW

Sep 20, 2021 replyretweetfavorite
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Here are the 5 PM AST Sunday Key Messages for Tropical Storm #Peter. Latest information at https://t.co/tW4KeFW0gB https://t.co/qNqPhwNLl1

Sep 19, 2021 replyretweetfavorite
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Tropical Storm #Peter Advisory 5: Peter Fending Off Strong Wind Shear. Expected to Pass North of the Lesser Antille… https://t.co/m4cn8We46p

Sep 19, 2021 replyretweetfavorite
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Tropical Storm #Rose Advisory 3: Rose Becomes the Seventeenth Named Storm of the Busy 2021 Hurricane Season. https://t.co/VqHn0u1vgc

Sep 19, 2021 replyretweetfavorite
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System 2 is the remnants of #Odette, currently a strong non-tropical low, which could move over warmer waters and a… https://t.co/qDf9L6BSqU

Sep 19, 2021 replyretweetfavorite
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System 1 is a tropical wave moving off the coast of Africa that could become a tropical depression late this week o… https://t.co/P0bjqxqUfU

Sep 19, 2021 replyretweetfavorite
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9/19 2pm EDT: NHC is monitoring two other systems, in addition to Tropical Storm #Peter and Tropical Depression Sev… https://t.co/qgDtQeyeDJ

Sep 19, 2021 replyretweetfavorite
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Here are the 11 AM AST September 19 Key Messages for Tropical Storm #Peter. More info: https://t.co/tW4KeFW0gB https://t.co/7hK2zaOYQw

Sep 19, 2021 replyretweetfavorite

NWS Local Statements

No NHC active statments at this time

NWS Public Advisories

Tropical Storm Rose Public Advisory Number 4
...ROSE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
Location: 15.3°N 31.1°W
Max sustained: 40 mph
Moving: NW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 1005 mb

Issued at 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 19 2021


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