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Atlantic Hurricane Tracking 2026

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Overview

Updated Oct 21, 2026 6:00 AM

Atlantic Tropical Weather Overview

Currently, there are no significant thunderstorm activities near the west coast of Africa or the tropical Atlantic. In the Gulf of Mexico, some scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are happening near the Bay of Campeche, with rough seas and strong winds affecting the southwestern Gulf, especially offshore from Veracruz, Mexico. Boaters and beachgoers should be cautious in this area due to choppy waters. Elsewhere, winds and sea conditions are generally moderate or calm.

Gulf of America

Strong high pressure north of the Gulf of Mexico is causing strong northwest winds and rough seas in the southwestern Gulf near Veracruz, Mexico, which may impact local fishermen and boaters. Moderate to fresh winds from the east and northeast are more common in other parts of the Gulf, with seas generally manageable for most activities. These conditions are expected to continue through the week, but rougher seas with strong winds will develop in the eastern Gulf near the Bahamas this weekend, spreading west later on. Mariners should stay updated and be prepared for challenging sea conditions from Saturday onward.

Caribbean Sea

A few scattered showers are occurring in some areas behind Cuba, over the Dominican Republic and Haiti, and near the coast of Colombia. The northern Caribbean north of 20 degrees latitude is experiencing moderate northeast winds and relatively calm seas around 2 to 4 feet, making it generally pleasant for boating and beach activities. The eastern and central Caribbean are experiencing moderate to fresh winds from the southeast, causing slightly choppier seas of 3 to 5 feet. Overall, the Caribbean weather is mostly stable with some light rain in localized spots, suitable for travelers and residents.

Atlantic Ocean

A stationary cold front stretches from Bermuda through the central Bahamas to central Cuba, bringing a few showers near these areas along with choppy seas reaching up to 11 feet. Just east of the Caribbean Islands, scattered showers and thunderstorms are present across parts of the central Atlantic, mostly north of 20 degrees and between the Lesser Antilles and Bermuda, causing moderate winds and sea conditions. Farther northeast near the coasts of Western Sahara, Morocco, and the Canary Islands, moderate east winds and scattered showers may affect coastal areas. Across the wider tropical Atlantic, strong high pressure keeps most areas relatively calm with moderate winds and seas, except for developing stronger winds and rough seas expected near the Bahamas and the Straits of Florida late this week and into the weekend, which could affect boaters and coastal communities.

Outlook

000
ABNT20 KNHC 210516
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 21 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Offshore of the East Coast of the United States (AL93):
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred
miles off the mid-Atlantic United States coast is producing some
shower and thunderstorm activity primarily west and northwest of its
center. Satellite imagery indicates that the low is still frontal.
Over the next day or two, the low could gradually lose its frontal
features while it moves slowly north-northeastward over the Gulf
Stream, allowing the system to briefly develop subtropical
characteristics. By the end of the week, the system is expected to
accelerate northeastward away from the the eastern United States,
and environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for
additional subtropical or tropical development.

Regardless of the status of the system, high winds, coastal
flooding, and dangerous surf are expected along portions of the U.S.
East Coast during the next few days. For more information, please
consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service
offices and the Weather Prediction Center, along with the High Seas
Forecasts and the Storm Warnings issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Pierce/Pasch

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